NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

The 2019 Food City 500 takes place on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET, and every corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked trail where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next victory of this 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and can be listed at 14-1 to triumph in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. However, there are just six drivers using 2019 NASCAR in Bristol odds better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your own 2019 Food City 500 choices, see the NASCAR at Bristol predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and current results into account.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top five. It was also all over Kyle Busch as a top contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the motorists in McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes at the Automobile Club 400. Anybody who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his blood. His model simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For Sundaywe can tell you that the model is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a very long shot at 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol chances.

Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins at this track among busy NASCAR drivers. This comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR in Bristol race for his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way into the front of the package from the starting position because race and has also already come in the 27th and 13th starting positions to succeed at Bristol. He conquer Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and will start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this season also, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash at Daytona and third in Atlanta.

Along with a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites in 12-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better values compared to 12-1 premium he is controlling.

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